British consumers are set to receive a welcome reprieve as energy bills are predicted to fall by £129, bringing the typical annual bill down to £1,720. This adjustment comes as Ofgem, the UK's energy regulator, prepares to announce its revised price cap this Friday. The current cap, set at £1,849, has been subject to three consecutive increases, making the anticipated reduction a significant development for households across the country.
The decrease in energy bills is largely attributed to a global slump in gas and oil prices, a situation exacerbated by aggressive tariff policies from the US under President Donald Trump. However, the expected 7% drop is slightly less optimistic than earlier forecasts, which had predicted a 9% decline, due to recent easing in trade tensions. Analysts at Cornwall Insight have highlighted the volatile nature of the energy market, cautioning that while prices are falling, they remain significantly higher than at the start of the decade.
Craig Lowrey, a principal consultant at Cornwall Insight, commented on the situation, stating, 'The fall in the price cap is a welcome development and will bring much-needed breathing space for households after a prolonged period of high energy costs.' He also noted the importance of context, emphasizing that many families continue to struggle under the weight of the ongoing cost-of-living crisis, with energy bills still posing a substantial financial burden.
Looking ahead, Cornwall Insight anticipates further modest reductions in the price cap in October and January, though these forecasts are subject to change based on a variety of factors, including global market dynamics and geopolitical events. The energy price cap, which affects approximately 22 million households in England, Wales, and Scotland, is adjusted quarterly to reflect wholesale energy costs, offering a mechanism to protect consumers from extreme price volatility in the energy market.
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